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| Urban Institute, November 13, 2008, Free http://www.urban.org/UploadedPDF/411792_childrens_savings_considerations.pdf Butrica emphasizes design issues for Children's Savings Accounts that will enhance the positive impact of such accounts. |
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| Vanguard Group, 2010, Free https://institutional.vanguard.com/iam/pdf/TRFCMM_042010.pdf The authors argue that what target date funds due is easy enough to emulate without them, and that their higher costs can thereby be avoided. |
| The authors argue that there is not yet any scientifically sound method for measuring the risk characteristics of target-date funds, and until there are, use of them itself represents a significant risk. |
| https://institutional.vanguard.com/VGApp/iip/site/institutional/researchcommentary/article?File=NewsBreakingMyths, Free A summary of the reasons that target date funds are often not a particularly good deal for savers for retirement. |
| Investment Company Institute, December 2009, Free http://www.ici.org/pdf/fm-v18n8.pdf Findings include the points that most mutual fund owners are employed and have moderate household income, and that almost all mutual fund holdings are intended for retirement saving. |
| http://www.aaii.com/journal/article/how-much-should-you-have-in-equities-until-retirement, Free Clark says that reduction in equity holdings prior to retirement, to prevent the effect of large drops in value, should not begin years ahead of time, because in such cases the investor loses out anyway, by giving up asset growth during the accumulation years. |
| Securian Retirement, September 2008, Free https://advisors.securianretirementcenter.com/shared/retirementplans/pdf/F68620TA_Paper.pdf The authors explain why they believe target date funds are inadequate, compared to target-age funds. |
| http://www.dol.gov/dol/media/webcast/hearing/, Free Joint hearings, with webcasts of nine panels of testimony. |
| U.S. Department of Labor, May 6, 2010, Free http://www.dol.gov/ebsa/pdf/TDFInvestorBulletin.pdf This study explains the target-date funds concept, warns potential buyers how to evaluate them, and links to general sources about retirement, investment, and mutual funds from the DoL, SEC, and FINRA |
| BrightScope, February 2010, Free http://www.brightscope.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/BrightScope-Real-Facts-about-Target-Date-Funds2.pdf The 401(k) rating organization, responds in a critical way to the Investment Company Institute’s defense of “six myths” about target date funds. |
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| Boston College Center for Retirement Research, July 2010, Free http://crr.bc.edu/images/stories/Briefs/ib_10-12.pdf The authors argue that older people typically are not capable of making wise decisions about the complexities of their finances, and suggest that the way out of this situation is not clear. |
| Century Foundation, August 2010, Free http://www.tcf.org/publications/economicsinequality/parekh_brief.pdf Anrig and Parekh say that the net wealth of households for people age 50+ declined by 25% from 2007 to 2009, with Baby Boomer households taking the biggest hit, and much of the losses coming from lower housing prices. |
| Athavale and Goebel come up with statistical arguments that 2.52% is the true safe withdrawal rate in retirement. |
| Basu outlines a schema that incorporates the business cycle effect within a fairly sophisticated but easy-to-understand framework for a retirement income distribution model. |
| Becker briefly discusses TIPs, ETFs, commodities, and REITs. |
| http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v70n1/v70n1p23.pdf, Free The results of this study are, as to be expected, that allocations with higher percentages in equities would have performed better, on average, over most historical periods, but the risk of failure is higher as well. |
| RetirementWorks, Inc., Free http://www.retirementworks2.com/pdfs/Can_You_Afford_to_Take_Investment_Risks-UNU.pdf Presents several important reasons why you should take significantly less investment risk during retirement than before retirement. |
| http://www.mrrc.isr.umich.edu/publications/papers/pdf/WP204.pdf, Free The authors add annuities to the customary equities/bonds investment mix, and examine the changes this enables in terms of earlier retirement dates and other factors. |
| Investment Company Institute, Fall 2008, Free http://www.ici.org/statements/res/rpt_08_dcdd.pdf This study analyzes recent data and trends in what people are doing with their defined contribution plan balances when they retire. |
| Still River Retirement Planning Software, Inc., June 2007, Free http://www.stillriverretire.com/Downloads/Half-Baked_Investment_Concepts_for_Retirees.pdf This paper exposes plausible but dangerous investment ideas for retirees. |
| Harris suggests that safe withdrawal rates in retirement fall in the 2-4% range. |
| U.S. Department of Labor / Employee Benefit Security Administration, May 22, 2009, Free http://www.dol.gov/federalregister/HtmlDisplay.aspx?DocId=22701&AgencyId=8&DocumentType=3 Information on hearings held by the Department of Labor and the Securities and Exchange Commission on issues relating to investments in target date funds and similar investment options by 401(k) plan participants and other investors. |
| Boston College Center for Retirement Research, March 2010, Free http://crr.bc.edu/images/stories/Briefs/ib_10-5.pdf Kopcke and Vitagliano explain the pros and cons of Roth IRA conversion based on expected future tax rates and the desire (or not) to retain assets in a tax shelter |
| University of Michigan Retirement Research Center, September 2009, Free http://www.mrrc.isr.umich.edu/publications/papers/pdf/wp216.pdf The authors found that people age 55+ mostly lack even a rudimentary understanding of stock and bond prices, risk diversification, portfolio choice, and investment fees; given increased individual responsibility for their retirement security, this lack of knowledge has serious implications. |
| National Bureau of Economic Research, January 2010, $5.00 http://www.nber.org/papers/w15682 The authors argue that equity investments should decline for workers approaching retirement if they have a low degree of uncertainty about retirement income, but that equity exposure should rise until retirement for people with high uncertainty about retirement income. |
| The authors have developed a measure of income sustainability that compares results under current conditions with those under extreme conditions, and that can be used to evaluate the suit-bility of results from Monte Carlo or other statistical models. |
| Social Science Research Network, October 2010, Free http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1703948 Mitchell's model features higher withdrawals early in retirement, and lower withdrawals later on, which he says leads to less than a 0.1% chance of insolvency. |
| Social Science Research Network, October 2009, Free http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1489657 Mitchell argues for a preventive approach to managing retirement withdrawals, which adapts to adverse investment experience before the situation becomes catastrophic. |
| Congressional Research Service, December 1, 2008, Free http://benefitslink.com/articles/guests/CRS-retirement-income-12-01-2008.pdf Mulvey and Purcell, noting that consumers do not value annuities at their actual price, calculate out how much retirees can withdraw each year from savings. They suggest an initial withdrawal of 5.0% for a 65-year-old man, 4.5% for a 65-year-old woman (for 95% assurance of solvency to age 95). |
| Principal Financial Group, October 2009, Free https://secure02.principal.com/publicvsupply/GetFile?fm=PQ10029&ty=VOP&EXT=.VOP This paper aims to provide financial professionals with insight as to when and how to deal with market volatility for clients just entering, or already in, retirement. It presents guidelines as to when action is needed, and offers some alternative strategies to sustain retirement income. |
| After reviewing six alternative strategies involving annuities, mutual funds, or a combination, the authors find that no one strategy dominates, so they suggest segmenting assets and adopting multiple strategies, while taking account of pension and Social Security income. |
| Pfau points out that studies of withdrawal rates have all been based on U.S. stock market data which, he argues, has been atypical over its recent history. His study looks at data from other developed countries, which in most cases produce lower results. |
| Still River Retirement Planning Software, Inc., April 2008, Free http://www.stillriverretire.com/Downloads/Piercing_the_Monte_Carlo_Mystique.pdf This paper explains why the sophisticated models often used to tell you how much you can safely withdraw from retirement savings are not actually up to the task and in fact are quite dangerous for your financial health. |
| AARP, September 2010, Free http://assets.aarp.org/rgcenter/ppi/econ-sec/underbank-economic-full-092110.pdf AARP investigates why some older people avoid banks, what they do instead, and what public policy changes might be helpful. |
| Pye concludes that if allowance is made for two or three serious cash emergencies during retirement, the sustainable withdrawal rate falls from about 4 percent to about 3 percent. |
| http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10632r.pdf, Free In this letter to Senate Special Committee on Aging Chairman Herb Kohl, Jeszeck emphasizes that accumulating assets is not enough, that prudent management of assets is essential, because for many people there is little margin for error. |
| Schultz, Collins, Lawson, Chambers, Free http://www.schultzcollins.com/files/IQ%20Q2%202011.pdf Thi issue provides history and criticism of the 4% retirement withdrawal rule of thumb. They note that investors rightly distrust such models, finding them an indication of intellectual laziness, and a failure to recognize that an actual investor is not the same as an average investor. |
| http://www.watsonwyatt.com/research/whitepapers/wprender.asp?id=WITD_11_2006 This paper urges caution with lifestyle funds. Funds that appear identical from the outside may have very different investment strategies and outcomes, and some of them may incorporate more risk than retirees want. |
| Putnam Institute, June 2011, Free https://content.putnam.com/literature/pdf/PI001.pdf Van Harlow argues that the allocation to equities for retirees should be in the 5-25% range, which is much less than is customarily recommended. |
| Boston College Center for Retirement Research, August 2009, Free http://crr.bc.edu/images/stories/Briefs/ib_9-17.pdf Webb argues that for retired households seeking a secure and dependable income, the true risk-free asset is a portfolio of bonds, particularly inflation protected bonds. |
| Society of Actuaries (SOA), LIMRA, and the International Foundation for Retirement Education (InFRE), 2009, Free http://www.soa.org/files/pdf/research-pen-assets-lifetime.pdf This quantitative research study was conducted to better understand how retired individuals with investable assets make decisions about investing their assets and buying financial products. |
| Boston College Center for Retirement Research, January 2009, Free http://crr.bc.edu/images/stories/Working_Papers/wp_2009-3.pdf Yogo presents a consumption and portfolio-choice model of a retiree who allocates wealth among four assets: a riskless bond, a risky asset, a real annuity, and housing. |
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| http://psychsocgerontology.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/64B/4/457 Mikels and Reed report that older people do not show the same discrepancy that younger ones do when risk tolerance toward potential losses is compared to risk tolerance toward potential gains. |
| Results and analysis of a survey of healthy aged people. |
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| http://www.aiflp.org/pdfs/IntegrativeAdviserNo0202.pdf, Free Abey presents a summary version of the issues discussed in his book. |
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| National Bureau of Economic Research Working Papers, February 2009, $5.00 http://papers.nber.org/papers/w14699 The authors construct an index of financial sophistication that explains a set of three investment mistakes: underdiversification, risky share inertia, and the tendency to sell winning stocks and hold losing stocks. |
| Chieffe and Lahey cite research showing that social responsible investing does not need to lead to lower returns. They suggest strategies for socially responsible investing. |
| RetirementWorks, Inc., 2009, Free http://www.retirementworks2.com/pdfs/Conservative_Investment_Strategies_and_Instruments-UNH.pdf Summarizes the options for conservative saving and investment vehicles, giving the pros and cons of each, along with general strategies. |
| Wiley, 2009, $19.95 http://www.amazon.com/Investing-Real-Estate-Gary-Eldred/dp/0470499265/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1280259142&sr=1-3 Having been though multiple editions, this is now a standad book on the subject of real estate investing. |
| Grable offers an answer to the question of how risk tolerance, risk capacity, and time horizon can be integrated to create a diversified investment portfolio. |
| Holton and a panel of advisors discuss ways in which the 2008-2009 economic downturn raises questions about traditional asset allocation and retirement income models. |
| The authors explore the ways in which the human psyche is typically wired to affect financial decision-making, often in adverse ways that are exacerbated by modern technology. |
| Legg Mason Global Asset Management, 2010, Free http://www.investmentnews.com/assets/docs/CI7088891.PDF Lin offers a strategy for determining how to allocate investments to avoid catastrophe when unexpectedly bad investment environments arise. |
| http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2011/el2011-26.pdf Liu and Spiegel note that the ratio of middle age people to older people correlates well with broad, long-term stock market movements, and suggest that Baby Boomer retirements could be a drag on the market over the next two decades. |
| Pension Research Council, 2008 http://www.pensionresearchcouncil.org/publications/document.php?file=406 The authors confirm that common life cycle investment strategies are fundamentally sound, but highlight the critical importance of accurately determining the investor’s risk tolerance. |
| Clearly the answer to the title question is yes for McCarthy, and he describes various approaches that can be taken. |
| Investment Company Institute, Winter 2009, Free http://www.ici.org/statements/res/rpt_profile09.pdf This report contains detailed demographic and attitudinal information about mutual fund owners. |
| http://reiclub.com/, Free A website about real estate investment that is packed with general information, news, and links to outside resources, that can also connect you with hundreds of local clubs across the country. |